Crystal Ball

[.RC.]

Ambition--is most necessary, there are those that are quite intelligent at 20. A lack of
ambition causes a waste of intelligence that even Sgt Gut Splatter can't lead them out
of.----It's about self drive.

You lose ambition when you see the deadshits, grifters and wasters of society being the government mandated winners, while at the same time the government stomping on the heads of industry that created the wealth of society because they are no longer flavour of the month.

I know a fellow who works for a multinational company, at this facility he left. He said the company had let the wasters and slackers get away with doing SFA, that eventually the motivated people who were covering for them, decided to go the same way.

Meanwhile the same company is busy promoting their favourite ESG agenda and getting taxpayer handouts.

Western society needs a kick up the arse.

 

[Truck Shop]

ou lose ambition when you see the deadshits, g

If one lets himself lose ambition because of others actions---that person needs to review
his own self respect. Self respect is everything rolled into one.
*
One thing I can add I always remembered that my dad said and he & I got along like cats
and dogs. {Never pattern after someone else pattern after yourself, don't follow others over
a cliff just because that's where they are headed}.

 

[colson04]

know a fellow who works for a multinational company, at this facility he left. He said the company had let the wasters and slackers get away with doing SFA, that eventually the motivated people who were covering for them, decided to go the same way.

Your friend did it right by walking away and finding something else instead of joining the bottom dwellers.

 

[MarcusZ1967]

{Never pattern after someone else pattern after yourself, don't follow others over
a cliff just because that's where they are headed}.

Lemmings......

 

[Tones]

These outfits are looking into their crystal ball, don't look good

315K views · 3.3K reactions | 4 Farming Equipment Companies In Financial Trouble (2024) #farmlife #johndeere #johndeerearmy #cnh #tractor | Heavysteelmarvel | Heavysteelmarvel · Original audio

4 Farming Equipment Companies In Financial Trouble (2024) #farmlife #johndeere #johndeerearmy #cnh #tractor. Heavysteelmarvel · Original audio

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[Truck Shop]

These outfits are looking into their crystal ball, don't look good

The price of fuel/chemicals/fertilizer/seed.

 

[Shimmy1]

The price of fuel/chemicals/fertilizer/seed.

Those are not the major players on the grand scheme of things. Yes, they are costs that have definitely risen, but not like everything else, and nowhere even close to the price of new/late model iron, and parts/service.

To get to the heart of the matter, you have to look at the whole culture. For 40 years, you've always had those guys that are perpetually sitting on plastic-covered seats. There used to be more, but they are still there. Then, you have the guys that buy those plastic-covered seats. Finally, you have everyone else.

The guys that buy the 1-2-3 year old machines are, for the most part, the major hiccup in this equation. They are the ones that keep the chain moving. Without them, there is no market for a machine that barely has the nubs worn off the tires. And if they aren't buying, the little guys that buy a 5-6-7 year old machine to run for the next 20 years certainly aren't buying.

So, you have a market that's flooded with 2-3-4 year old machines, and now the dealers are having a fire sale to stop the bleeding.

The next couple years are going to be a challenge.

 

[Truck Shop]

Those are not the major players on the grand scheme of things.

Correct--because those costs are figured into yield, which if below average can be covered
with crop insurance.

 

[terex herder]

1 year old super sized (X9) deere combines are selling for about 1/3 new price with 200-300 hours. That worked out to about $1700/separator hour. That 2nd tier buyer is holding on to his money.

 

[Shimmy1]

1 year old super sized (X9) deere combines are selling for about 1/3 new price with 200-300 hours. That worked out to about $1700/separator hour. That 2nd tier buyer is holding on to his money.

Exactly. The three big brands have overplayed their hands, and now are suffering the consequences. Unfortunately, the buyers are going to be the ones to feel the pain, whether it be increased purchase prices on parts or service, or downtime due to broken down machinery that they're trying to make go another season.

 

[Truck Shop]

Life of a bine depends on how much dirt has been run through it each season.
I should have Dwight my farmer friend comment on this thread, fourth generation
wheat farmer. Many around here run 25 plus year old bines.

 

[terex herder]

Rice is about the most abrasive common grain harvested. Around here soybeans grown on sandy soils are about the worst. I had an elevator man tell me 50,000 of beans grown in the river valley would wear out equipment that would handle 250,000 bushel of corn without problems.

Some wear parts start needing replacement at about 1,000,000 bu corn. By 5,000,000 bu. most wear parts have been replaced twice, and non replaceable parts are wearing patches. Engine has 2500 hours, so still strong. Hydrostatic system still like new. Electric wires and hydraulic pipes and hoses chafe, wear through, and break. Sheet metal parts that vibrate have spider cracks.

 

[colson04]

x2 on the soybeans. We've replaced a lot of steel over the years because of soybeans. They're almost ready to start cutting again.